Number and Type of Markets

Most active Markets

kable(head(data_matched_other,22), format = "markdown")
Market Matched (£)
2015 UK General Election - Overall Majority 2965756
2015 UK General Election - Most Seats 2193472
2015 UK General Election - Next Government 341565
2015 UK General Election - Prime Minister After General Election 203146
UK Seat Totals - UKIP Seats Total 192054
Prime Minister after Cameron - Prime Minister after Cameron 86061
Scotland - Most Seats Scotland 78073
2015 UK General Election - Party Leaders 49771
UK Seat Totals - UKIP U/O 2.5 Seats 38062
UK Seat Totals - UKIP Seats Total 2 30153
Next Party Leaders - Next Conservative Leader 26559
UK Seat Totals - Conservative Seats Total 19437
UK Seat Totals - UKIP U/O 5.5 Seats 17907
England - Most Seats England 17855
UK Seat Totals - SNP U/O 35.5 Seats 13404
Next Party Leaders - Next Liberal Democrat Leader 10251
Next Party Leaders - Next Labour Leader 9061
UK Seat Totals - Lib Dem Seats Total 8736
2015 UK General Election - Electoral Bias 8668
2015 UK General Election - Next Government Coalition Parties 8085
UK Seat Totals - SNP U/O 25.5 Seats 6619
UK Seat Totals - SNP U/O 43.5 Seats 5751

Most active Constituency Markets

kable(head(data_matched_constituencies,10), format = "markdown")
Market Matched (£)
South Thanet - Winner 44829
Brighton Pavilion - Winner 9961
Sheffield Hallam - Winner 7218
Gordon - Winner 5196
Brighton Kemptown - Brighton Kemptown - Winner 3683
Cambourne and Redruth - Winner 3512
Rochester and Strood - Winner 2846
Castle Point - Castle Point - Winner 2463
Falkirk - Winner 1881
Bristol West - Bristol West - Winner 1709

Market = Overall Majority

(implied) Probability vs. date

Current Probabilities

(implied) Probability vs. date (Animated GIF)

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Market = Overall Majority

(implied) Probability vs. date

Current Probabilities

(implied) Probability vs. date (Animated GIF)